{ "metric": "contested-possession ability", "unit": "posterior probability of winning a contested duel", "interval_mass": 0.9, "seasons": [ "2023-24", "2024-25", "2025-26", "2026-27" ], "career_pooled": true, "current_squads_only": true, "new_signing_note": "Career-pooled over three seasons by necessity: single-season separability is 2-14%, so a newly arrived player cannot be rated for roughly two seasons.", "not_a_defensive_rating": "This measures contested possession — aerial and ground duels — not defensive contribution, which remains unmeasurable at this league size (ADR-020/021).", "cells": [ { "channel": "aerial", "position": "D", "n_players": 142, "positional_mean": 0.5904, "separable": 31, "permutation_null": 1.75, "club_corr_raw": 0.045, "split_half": 0.531, "ships": true, "n_current": 57, "n_departed": 85, "ranking": [ { "rank": 1, "player": "Gustaf Lagerbielke", "player_id": 965263, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 165, "won": 122, "rate_raw": 0.7394, "theta": 0.6967, "theta_lo": 0.6461, "theta_hi": 0.7454, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 36, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 2, "player": "Jan Bednarek", "player_id": 286085, "team": "Porto", "duels": 249, "won": 176, "rate_raw": 0.7068, "theta": 0.6824, "theta_lo": 0.6386, "theta_hi": 0.7248, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 41, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 3, "player": "Bernardo Schappo", "player_id": 1017590, "team": "Estrela Amadora", "duels": 142, "won": 102, "rate_raw": 0.7183, "theta": 0.6776, "theta_lo": 0.6235, "theta_hi": 0.7298, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 36, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 4, "player": "Ze Vitor", "player_id": 1112474, "team": "Nacional", "duels": 304, "won": 210, "rate_raw": 0.6908, "theta": 0.6728, "theta_lo": 0.6322, "theta_hi": 0.7124, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 70, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 5, "player": "Tiago Esgaio", "player_id": 863637, "team": "Arouca", "duels": 343, "won": 233, "rate_raw": 0.6793, "theta": 0.6649, "theta_lo": 0.6261, "theta_hi": 0.7028, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 89, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 6, "player": "David Sousa", "player_id": 1015932, "team": "Casa Pia", "duels": 152, "won": 104, "rate_raw": 0.6842, "theta": 0.6557, "theta_lo": 0.6021, "theta_hi": 0.7077, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 34, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 7, "player": "Sikou Niakaté", "player_id": 868235, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 212, "won": 143, "rate_raw": 0.6745, "theta": 0.6545, "theta_lo": 0.6071, "theta_hi": 0.7007, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 62, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 8, "player": "Francisco Petrasso", "player_id": 1467139, "team": "Rio Ave", "duels": 62, "won": 44, "rate_raw": 0.7097, "theta": 0.6481, "theta_lo": 0.5776, "theta_hi": 0.7159, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 48, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 9, "player": "Ferro", "player_id": 357734, "team": "Estoril", "duels": 147, "won": 99, "rate_raw": 0.6735, "theta": 0.6477, "theta_lo": 0.5932, "theta_hi": 0.7006, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 64, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 10, "player": "Vítor Carvalho", "player_id": 887754, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 96, "won": 64, "rate_raw": 0.6667, "theta": 0.6355, "theta_lo": 0.5726, "theta_hi": 0.6965, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 21, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 11, "player": "Frederico Venâncio", "player_id": 254815, "team": "Santa Clara", "duels": 128, "won": 84, "rate_raw": 0.6562, "theta": 0.6338, "theta_lo": 0.5763, "theta_hi": 0.6897, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 64, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 12, "player": "Jakub Kiwior", "player_id": 976037, "team": "Porto", "duels": 115, "won": 74, "rate_raw": 0.6435, "theta": 0.6241, "theta_lo": 0.5643, "theta_hi": 0.6823, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 37, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 13, "player": "Rafael Fernandes", "player_id": 1087352, "team": "Maritimo", "duels": 63, "won": 41, "rate_raw": 0.6508, "theta": 0.6198, "theta_lo": 0.5488, "theta_hi": 0.6888, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 19, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 14, "player": "Nehuén Pérez", "player_id": 913401, "team": "Porto", "duels": 127, "won": 80, "rate_raw": 0.6299, "theta": 0.6164, "theta_lo": 0.5583, "theta_hi": 0.6731, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 40, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 15, "player": "Maracás", "player_id": 931485, "team": "Moreirense", "duels": 347, "won": 212, "rate_raw": 0.611, "theta": 0.6077, "theta_lo": 0.5679, "theta_hi": 0.6468, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 100, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 16, "player": "Tomás Araújo", "player_id": 983542, "team": "Benfica", "duels": 182, "won": 111, "rate_raw": 0.6099, "theta": 0.6047, "theta_lo": 0.5533, "theta_hi": 0.6552, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 95, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 17, "player": "Manu Silva", "player_id": 1085740, "team": "Benfica", "duels": 88, "won": 54, "rate_raw": 0.6136, "theta": 0.6037, "theta_lo": 0.5383, "theta_hi": 0.6675, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 18, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 18, "player": "João Goulart", "player_id": 1151667, "team": "Casa Pia", "duels": 229, "won": 138, "rate_raw": 0.6026, "theta": 0.5999, "theta_lo": 0.5527, "theta_hi": 0.6463, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 75, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 19, "player": "Antonio Espigares", "player_id": 1142261, "team": "Gil Vicente", "duels": 82, "won": 48, "rate_raw": 0.5854, "theta": 0.5876, "theta_lo": 0.5206, "theta_hi": 0.6532, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 42, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 20, "player": "Weverson", "player_id": 905452, "team": "Gil Vicente", "duels": 94, "won": 55, "rate_raw": 0.5851, "theta": 0.5873, "theta_lo": 0.5229, "theta_hi": 0.6505, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 65, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 21, "player": "Orest Lebedenko", "player_id": 844409, "team": "Arouca", "duels": 77, "won": 45, "rate_raw": 0.5844, "theta": 0.5872, "theta_lo": 0.519, "theta_hi": 0.6539, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 68, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 22, "player": "Luan Patrick", "player_id": 1002565, "team": "Estrela Amadora", "duels": 62, "won": 36, "rate_raw": 0.5806, "theta": 0.5857, "theta_lo": 0.5136, "theta_hi": 0.6562, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 42, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 23, "player": "Jose Fontán", "player_id": 964609, "team": "Arouca", "duels": 221, "won": 128, "rate_raw": 0.5792, "theta": 0.5818, "theta_lo": 0.5337, "theta_hi": 0.6292, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 69, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 24, "player": "Rodrigo Pinheiro", "player_id": 991924, "team": "Famalicao", "duels": 106, "won": 61, "rate_raw": 0.5755, "theta": 0.5812, "theta_lo": 0.519, "theta_hi": 0.6424, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 71, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 25, "player": "Zeno Debast", "player_id": 1126512, "team": "Sporting CP", "duels": 63, "won": 36, "rate_raw": 0.5714, "theta": 0.5812, "theta_lo": 0.5093, "theta_hi": 0.6516, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 46, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 26, "player": "Bright Arrey-Mbi", "player_id": 997173, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 64, "won": 36, "rate_raw": 0.5625, "theta": 0.5767, "theta_lo": 0.5051, "theta_hi": 0.647, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 56, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 27, "player": "Marios Vrousai", "player_id": 848521, "team": "Rio Ave", "duels": 75, "won": 42, "rate_raw": 0.56, "theta": 0.5743, "theta_lo": 0.5054, "theta_hi": 0.6419, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 35, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 28, "player": "Alexander Bah", "player_id": 850976, "team": "Benfica", "duels": 107, "won": 60, "rate_raw": 0.5607, "theta": 0.5721, "theta_lo": 0.5099, "theta_hi": 0.6333, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 57, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 29, "player": "Zé Carlos", "player_id": 1001662, "team": "Gil Vicente", "duels": 184, "won": 104, "rate_raw": 0.5652, "theta": 0.5719, "theta_lo": 0.5202, "theta_hi": 0.6229, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 93, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 30, "player": "Miguel Nóbrega", "player_id": 1066233, "team": "Vitoria SC", "duels": 83, "won": 46, "rate_raw": 0.5542, "theta": 0.5703, "theta_lo": 0.5033, "theta_hi": 0.6362, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 52, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 31, "player": "Sidney Lima", "player_id": 1131145, "team": "Santa Clara", "duels": 211, "won": 118, "rate_raw": 0.5592, "theta": 0.5667, "theta_lo": 0.5175, "theta_hi": 0.6153, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 65, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 32, "player": "Óscar Rivas", "player_id": 1168093, "team": "Vitoria SC", "duels": 132, "won": 73, "rate_raw": 0.553, "theta": 0.5655, "theta_lo": 0.5074, "theta_hi": 0.6229, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 45, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 33, "player": "Francisco Moura", "player_id": 985138, "team": "Porto", "duels": 138, "won": 76, "rate_raw": 0.5507, "theta": 0.5636, "theta_lo": 0.5063, "theta_hi": 0.6202, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 88, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 34, "player": "Gonçalo Costa", "player_id": 1087354, "team": "Estoril", "duels": 61, "won": 32, "rate_raw": 0.5246, "theta": 0.5589, "theta_lo": 0.4862, "theta_hi": 0.6305, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 73, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 35, "player": "Martim Fernandes", "player_id": 1142585, "team": "Porto", "duels": 70, "won": 37, "rate_raw": 0.5286, "theta": 0.5586, "theta_lo": 0.4884, "theta_hi": 0.6279, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 59, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 36, "player": "Issiar Drame", "player_id": 857766, "team": "Estrela Amadora", "duels": 70, "won": 37, "rate_raw": 0.5286, "theta": 0.5586, "theta_lo": 0.4884, "theta_hi": 0.6279, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 30, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 37, "player": "Tomás Silva", "player_id": 1176102, "team": "Academico Viseu", "duels": 70, "won": 37, "rate_raw": 0.5286, "theta": 0.5586, "theta_lo": 0.4884, "theta_hi": 0.6279, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 27, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 38, "player": "Alberto Costa", "player_id": 1160957, "team": "Porto", "duels": 88, "won": 47, "rate_raw": 0.5341, "theta": 0.5583, "theta_lo": 0.4923, "theta_hi": 0.6234, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 67, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 39, "player": "Ibrahima Ba", "player_id": 1595506, "team": "Sporting CP", "duels": 97, "won": 52, "rate_raw": 0.5361, "theta": 0.5581, "theta_lo": 0.494, "theta_hi": 0.6215, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 43, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 40, "player": "André Geraldes", "player_id": 125039, "team": "Casa Pia", "duels": 63, "won": 33, "rate_raw": 0.5238, "theta": 0.5579, "theta_lo": 0.4858, "theta_hi": 0.629, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 86, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 41, "player": "José Gomes", "player_id": 344181, "team": "Nacional", "duels": 133, "won": 72, "rate_raw": 0.5414, "theta": 0.5577, "theta_lo": 0.4996, "theta_hi": 0.6151, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 56, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 42, "player": "Léo Santos", "player_id": 822509, "team": "Nacional", "duels": 193, "won": 105, "rate_raw": 0.544, "theta": 0.5559, "theta_lo": 0.505, "theta_hi": 0.6063, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 66, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 43, "player": "Ulisses", "player_id": 926869, "team": "Nacional", "duels": 102, "won": 53, "rate_raw": 0.5196, "theta": 0.5475, "theta_lo": 0.4842, "theta_hi": 0.6101, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 36, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 44, "player": "Eduardo Quaresma", "player_id": 989841, "team": "Sporting CP", "duels": 108, "won": 56, "rate_raw": 0.5185, "theta": 0.5459, "theta_lo": 0.4837, "theta_hi": 0.6074, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 90, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 45, "player": "Henrique Silva", "player_id": 1459627, "team": "Santa Clara", "duels": 68, "won": 34, "rate_raw": 0.5, "theta": 0.5446, "theta_lo": 0.4738, "theta_hi": 0.6147, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 30, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 46, "player": "Jakub Brabec", "player_id": 72020, "team": "Rio Ave", "duels": 68, "won": 34, "rate_raw": 0.5, "theta": 0.5446, "theta_lo": 0.4738, "theta_hi": 0.6147, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 34, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 47, "player": "Gilberto Batista", "player_id": 1153099, "team": "Moreirense", "duels": 107, "won": 55, "rate_raw": 0.514, "theta": 0.5432, "theta_lo": 0.4809, "theta_hi": 0.605, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 89, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 48, "player": "Boris Popović", "player_id": 902050, "team": "Arouca", "duels": 80, "won": 39, "rate_raw": 0.4875, "theta": 0.5341, "theta_lo": 0.4662, "theta_hi": 0.6015, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 61, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 49, "player": "Gonçalo Inácio", "player_id": 1001196, "team": "Sporting CP", "duels": 320, "won": 166, "rate_raw": 0.5188, "theta": 0.531, "theta_lo": 0.4892, "theta_hi": 0.5727, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 99, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 50, "player": "Léo Realpe", "player_id": 977676, "team": "Famalicao", "duels": 114, "won": 56, "rate_raw": 0.4912, "theta": 0.5277, "theta_lo": 0.4665, "theta_hi": 0.5885, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 61, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 51, "player": "João Mendes", "player_id": 1133568, "team": "Vitoria SC", "duels": 153, "won": 75, "rate_raw": 0.4902, "theta": 0.5205, "theta_lo": 0.465, "theta_hi": 0.5758, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 83, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 52, "player": "Thiago Balieiro", "player_id": 1148442, "team": "Vitoria SC", "duels": 98, "won": 46, "rate_raw": 0.4694, "theta": 0.5182, "theta_lo": 0.4541, "theta_hi": 0.582, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 28, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 53, "player": "Pepe", "player_id": 5884, "team": "Porto", "duels": 85, "won": 39, "rate_raw": 0.4588, "theta": 0.5165, "theta_lo": 0.4497, "theta_hi": 0.583, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 22, "role_cluster": "high_aerial" }, { "rank": 54, "player": "Dinis Pinto", "player_id": 1160980, "team": "Moreirense", "duels": 168, "won": 81, "rate_raw": 0.4821, "theta": 0.5128, "theta_lo": 0.4591, "theta_hi": 0.5663, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 83, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 55, "player": "Victor Gómez", "player_id": 877918, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 89, "won": 40, "rate_raw": 0.4494, "theta": 0.5096, "theta_lo": 0.4437, "theta_hi": 0.5753, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 75, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 56, "player": "Rafa Soares", "player_id": 190137, "team": "Estrela Amadora", "duels": 67, "won": 26, "rate_raw": 0.3881, "theta": 0.4887, "theta_lo": 0.4178, "theta_hi": 0.5598, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 63, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" }, { "rank": 57, "player": "Samuel Dahl", "player_id": 993101, "team": "Benfica", "duels": 77, "won": 30, "rate_raw": 0.3896, "theta": 0.4825, "theta_lo": 0.4141, "theta_hi": 0.5511, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 52, "role_cluster": "low_aerial" } ] }, { "channel": "aerial", "position": "M", "n_players": 80, "positional_mean": 0.4878, "separable": 17, "permutation_null": 0.75, "club_corr_raw": 0.109, "split_half": 0.693, "ships": true, "n_current": 36, "n_departed": 44, "ranking": [ { "rank": 1, "player": "Matheus Dias", "player_id": 1020610, "team": "Nacional", "duels": 105, "won": 64, "rate_raw": 0.6095, "theta": 0.5792, "theta_lo": 0.5101, "theta_hi": 0.647, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 61 }, { "rank": 2, "player": "João Marques", "player_id": 1087321, "team": "SC Braga", "duels": 69, "won": 42, "rate_raw": 0.6087, "theta": 0.5681, "theta_lo": 0.4878, "theta_hi": 0.647, "above_positional_mean": false, "matches": 44 }, { "rank": 3, "player": "Beni Mukendi", "player_id": 1002367, "team": "Vitoria SC", "duels": 120, "won": 69, "rate_raw": 0.575, "theta": 0.5554, "theta_lo": 0.4895, "theta_hi": 0.6205, "above_positional_mean": true, "matches": 95 }, { "rank": 4, "player": "Alan Varela", "player_id": 1066560, "team": "Porto", "duels": 131, "won": 75, "rate_raw": 0.5725, "theta": 0.5547, "theta_lo": 0.491, "theta_hi": 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