{
  "season": "2026-27",
  "matchday": 10,
  "model": "bivcross",
  "n_sims": 50000,
  "timestamp": "2026-11-01T22:34:11.057586+00:00",
  "table": [
    {
      "team": "Porto",
      "mean_pts": 83.4,
      "std_pts": 5.6,
      "mean_gd": 53.9,
      "p_champion": 0.6418,
      "p_top3": 0.9988,
      "p_relegation": 0.0,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.596,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.6801,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0
    },
    {
      "team": "Benfica",
      "mean_pts": 78.0,
      "std_pts": 5.6,
      "mean_gd": 55.1,
      "p_champion": 0.2229,
      "p_top3": 0.9903,
      "p_relegation": 0.0,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.19,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.2621,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0
    },
    {
      "team": "Sporting CP",
      "mean_pts": 76.2,
      "std_pts": 5.3,
      "mean_gd": 50.2,
      "p_champion": 0.1353,
      "p_top3": 0.9874,
      "p_relegation": 0.0,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.1039,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.1601,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0
    },
    {
      "team": "SC Braga",
      "mean_pts": 57.9,
      "std_pts": 6.0,
      "mean_gd": 17.6,
      "p_champion": 0.0001,
      "p_top3": 0.0195,
      "p_relegation": 0.0,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.002,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0
    },
    {
      "team": "Santa Clara",
      "mean_pts": 51.6,
      "std_pts": 6.0,
      "mean_gd": 5.1,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0025,
      "p_relegation": 0.0001,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.002
    },
    {
      "team": "Arouca",
      "mean_pts": 48.5,
      "std_pts": 6.1,
      "mean_gd": -1.6,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0008,
      "p_relegation": 0.0008,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.004
    },
    {
      "team": "Gil Vicente",
      "mean_pts": 46.1,
      "std_pts": 6.3,
      "mean_gd": -2.7,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0003,
      "p_relegation": 0.0041,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0101
    },
    {
      "team": "Academico Viseu",
      "mean_pts": 44.5,
      "std_pts": 6.1,
      "mean_gd": -10.6,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0002,
      "p_relegation": 0.0063,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0141
    },
    {
      "team": "Famalicao",
      "mean_pts": 43.2,
      "std_pts": 6.2,
      "mean_gd": -0.5,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.0109,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.004,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.02
    },
    {
      "team": "Vitoria SC",
      "mean_pts": 43.2,
      "std_pts": 6.4,
      "mean_gd": 0.9,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.0139,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.006,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0241
    },
    {
      "team": "Alverca",
      "mean_pts": 42.9,
      "std_pts": 6.3,
      "mean_gd": -4.3,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0001,
      "p_relegation": 0.0148,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.006,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0241
    },
    {
      "team": "Moreirense",
      "mean_pts": 39.9,
      "std_pts": 5.9,
      "mean_gd": -15.6,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.038,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.0259,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.0521
    },
    {
      "team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "mean_pts": 33.7,
      "std_pts": 5.8,
      "mean_gd": -19.6,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.2104,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.1779,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.2421
    },
    {
      "team": "Rio Ave",
      "mean_pts": 33.3,
      "std_pts": 6.0,
      "mean_gd": -26.3,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.2576,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.2259,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.2981
    },
    {
      "team": "Estoril",
      "mean_pts": 32.4,
      "std_pts": 6.2,
      "mean_gd": -18.9,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.2854,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.2559,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.3202
    },
    {
      "team": "Nacional",
      "mean_pts": 31.9,
      "std_pts": 5.9,
      "mean_gd": -23.0,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.3211,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.2858,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.358
    },
    {
      "team": "Casa Pia",
      "mean_pts": 31.3,
      "std_pts": 5.9,
      "mean_gd": -28.5,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.3808,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.3359,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.4221
    },
    {
      "team": "Maritimo",
      "mean_pts": 30.3,
      "std_pts": 5.9,
      "mean_gd": -31.0,
      "p_champion": 0.0,
      "p_top3": 0.0,
      "p_relegation": 0.4559,
      "p_champion_lo": 0.0,
      "p_champion_hi": 0.0,
      "p_relegation_lo": 0.416,
      "p_relegation_hi": 0.4901
    }
  ],
  "actual_standings": [
    {
      "team": "Porto",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 30,
      "gd": 21,
      "gf": 25,
      "ga": 4
    },
    {
      "team": "Benfica",
      "played": 9,
      "points": 22,
      "gd": 18,
      "gf": 26,
      "ga": 8
    },
    {
      "team": "Sporting CP",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 21,
      "gd": 12,
      "gf": 23,
      "ga": 11
    },
    {
      "team": "Santa Clara",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 21,
      "gd": 9,
      "gf": 15,
      "ga": 6
    },
    {
      "team": "Arouca",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 20,
      "gd": 6,
      "gf": 13,
      "ga": 7
    },
    {
      "team": "Academico Viseu",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 20,
      "gd": 3,
      "gf": 15,
      "ga": 12
    },
    {
      "team": "SC Braga",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 14,
      "gd": 1,
      "gf": 12,
      "ga": 11
    },
    {
      "team": "Gil Vicente",
      "played": 9,
      "points": 14,
      "gd": 1,
      "gf": 8,
      "ga": 7
    },
    {
      "team": "Moreirense",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 14,
      "gd": -4,
      "gf": 13,
      "ga": 17
    },
    {
      "team": "Alverca",
      "played": 9,
      "points": 11,
      "gd": 0,
      "gf": 13,
      "ga": 13
    },
    {
      "team": "Famalicao",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 10,
      "gd": 0,
      "gf": 14,
      "ga": 14
    },
    {
      "team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 10,
      "gd": -4,
      "gf": 15,
      "ga": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "Vitoria SC",
      "played": 9,
      "points": 8,
      "gd": 0,
      "gf": 10,
      "ga": 10
    },
    {
      "team": "Maritimo",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 8,
      "gd": -12,
      "gf": 9,
      "ga": 21
    },
    {
      "team": "Nacional",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 7,
      "gd": -9,
      "gf": 10,
      "ga": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "Rio Ave",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 7,
      "gd": -14,
      "gf": 9,
      "ga": 23
    },
    {
      "team": "Casa Pia",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 7,
      "gd": -14,
      "gf": 5,
      "ga": 19
    },
    {
      "team": "Estoril",
      "played": 10,
      "points": 2,
      "gd": -14,
      "gf": 5,
      "ga": 19
    }
  ],
  "team_strengths": {
    "Academico Viseu": {
      "attack": -0.136,
      "defense": 0.102
    },
    "Alverca": {
      "attack": 0.041,
      "defense": -0.045
    },
    "Arouca": {
      "attack": 0.021,
      "defense": -0.0
    },
    "Benfica": {
      "attack": 0.729,
      "defense": -0.519
    },
    "Casa Pia": {
      "attack": -0.164,
      "defense": 0.1
    },
    "Estoril": {
      "attack": 0.122,
      "defense": 0.018
    },
    "Estrela Amadora": {
      "attack": -0.136,
      "defense": 0.067
    },
    "Famalicao": {
      "attack": 0.097,
      "defense": -0.157
    },
    "Gil Vicente": {
      "attack": -0.002,
      "defense": -0.136
    },
    "Maritimo": {
      "attack": -0.151,
      "defense": 0.168
    },
    "Moreirense": {
      "attack": -0.125,
      "defense": 0.02
    },
    "Nacional": {
      "attack": -0.08,
      "defense": 0.098
    },
    "Porto": {
      "attack": 0.635,
      "defense": -0.714
    },
    "Rio Ave": {
      "attack": 0.002,
      "defense": 0.111
    },
    "SC Braga": {
      "attack": 0.423,
      "defense": -0.342
    },
    "Santa Clara": {
      "attack": -0.054,
      "defense": -0.222
    },
    "Sporting CP": {
      "attack": 0.761,
      "defense": -0.634
    },
    "Vitoria SC": {
      "attack": 0.11,
      "defense": -0.173
    }
  },
  "xpts_table": [
    {
      "team": "Porto",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 22.1,
      "xgf": 22.0,
      "xga": 8.1
    },
    {
      "team": "Sporting CP",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 20.6,
      "xgf": 19.9,
      "xga": 8.2
    },
    {
      "team": "Benfica",
      "played": 9,
      "xpts": 20.1,
      "xgf": 20.5,
      "xga": 6.6
    },
    {
      "team": "SC Braga",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 17.8,
      "xgf": 13.0,
      "xga": 7.2
    },
    {
      "team": "Santa Clara",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 16.6,
      "xgf": 12.6,
      "xga": 8.8
    },
    {
      "team": "Vitoria SC",
      "played": 9,
      "xpts": 15.9,
      "xgf": 14.3,
      "xga": 8.8
    },
    {
      "team": "Arouca",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 14.4,
      "xgf": 12.4,
      "xga": 12.0
    },
    {
      "team": "Gil Vicente",
      "played": 9,
      "xpts": 13.8,
      "xgf": 11.2,
      "xga": 9.2
    },
    {
      "team": "Estrela Amadora",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 13.5,
      "xgf": 12.4,
      "xga": 13.5
    },
    {
      "team": "Famalicao",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 11.2,
      "xgf": 9.3,
      "xga": 13.5
    },
    {
      "team": "Alverca",
      "played": 9,
      "xpts": 11.1,
      "xgf": 13.3,
      "xga": 14.5
    },
    {
      "team": "Maritimo",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 10.7,
      "xgf": 9.5,
      "xga": 14.1
    },
    {
      "team": "Academico Viseu",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 10.5,
      "xgf": 11.4,
      "xga": 16.4
    },
    {
      "team": "Estoril",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 10.1,
      "xgf": 10.0,
      "xga": 16.6
    },
    {
      "team": "Nacional",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 10.0,
      "xgf": 10.1,
      "xga": 16.9
    },
    {
      "team": "Casa Pia",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 8.8,
      "xgf": 8.0,
      "xga": 16.9
    },
    {
      "team": "Moreirense",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 8.2,
      "xgf": 7.7,
      "xga": 16.8
    },
    {
      "team": "Rio Ave",
      "played": 10,
      "xpts": 8.0,
      "xgf": 7.3,
      "xga": 16.8
    }
  ],
  "position_probs": {
    "Academico Viseu": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0002,
      0.0229,
      0.066,
      0.0965,
      0.1177,
      0.13,
      0.1305,
      0.122,
      0.1045,
      0.0825,
      0.0551,
      0.0347,
      0.0205,
      0.0107,
      0.005,
      0.0013
    ],
    "Alverca": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0001,
      0.0157,
      0.0523,
      0.0809,
      0.1015,
      0.1153,
      0.1239,
      0.1221,
      0.1123,
      0.094,
      0.0685,
      0.0478,
      0.0305,
      0.0203,
      0.0102,
      0.0046
    ],
    "Arouca": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0008,
      0.0793,
      0.1598,
      0.1781,
      0.1571,
      0.1277,
      0.1,
      0.0756,
      0.0527,
      0.0339,
      0.0188,
      0.0089,
      0.0045,
      0.0021,
      0.0007,
      0.0001
    ],
    "Benfica": [
      0.2229,
      0.4172,
      0.3503,
      0.0093,
      0.0004,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0
    ],
    "Casa Pia": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0005,
      0.0015,
      0.0039,
      0.007,
      0.0131,
      0.0222,
      0.0368,
      0.0551,
      0.0819,
      0.1065,
      0.1349,
      0.1557,
      0.1824,
      0.1984
    ],
    "Estoril": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0001,
      0.0015,
      0.0033,
      0.0081,
      0.0138,
      0.0221,
      0.0351,
      0.0539,
      0.0755,
      0.1012,
      0.1214,
      0.1339,
      0.1449,
      0.1441,
      0.1413
    ],
    "Estrela Amadora": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0002,
      0.0017,
      0.0036,
      0.0087,
      0.0163,
      0.027,
      0.0416,
      0.0648,
      0.091,
      0.119,
      0.1361,
      0.1417,
      0.138,
      0.1206,
      0.0898
    ],
    "Famalicao": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0165,
      0.0554,
      0.0877,
      0.1115,
      0.1235,
      0.127,
      0.1227,
      0.106,
      0.0872,
      0.0638,
      0.0442,
      0.0282,
      0.0153,
      0.0078,
      0.0031
    ],
    "Gil Vicente": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0003,
      0.042,
      0.1074,
      0.1344,
      0.1433,
      0.1341,
      0.1195,
      0.1012,
      0.0799,
      0.0553,
      0.037,
      0.0227,
      0.0127,
      0.0061,
      0.0033,
      0.0008
    ],
    "Maritimo": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0001,
      0.0003,
      0.001,
      0.0028,
      0.0049,
      0.0093,
      0.0171,
      0.0289,
      0.0459,
      0.0686,
      0.0942,
      0.1187,
      0.1524,
      0.1939,
      0.262
    ],
    "Moreirense": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0042,
      0.0165,
      0.0339,
      0.0526,
      0.072,
      0.0957,
      0.1148,
      0.1283,
      0.1311,
      0.1133,
      0.0892,
      0.0659,
      0.0446,
      0.0266,
      0.0114
    ],
    "Nacional": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0001,
      0.0006,
      0.0023,
      0.0048,
      0.0099,
      0.0163,
      0.0293,
      0.0448,
      0.0664,
      0.0935,
      0.121,
      0.1391,
      0.1509,
      0.1601,
      0.161
    ],
    "Porto": [
      0.6418,
      0.2494,
      0.1076,
      0.0012,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0
    ],
    "Rio Ave": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0003,
      0.0011,
      0.0041,
      0.0083,
      0.0148,
      0.0248,
      0.0385,
      0.0562,
      0.0805,
      0.108,
      0.1267,
      0.1391,
      0.14,
      0.135,
      0.1225
    ],
    "SC Braga": [
      0.0001,
      0.0012,
      0.0182,
      0.6166,
      0.1998,
      0.0853,
      0.0394,
      0.0201,
      0.0103,
      0.005,
      0.0023,
      0.0009,
      0.0005,
      0.0002,
      0.0001,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0
    ],
    "Santa Clara": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0025,
      0.1602,
      0.2764,
      0.1963,
      0.1326,
      0.0893,
      0.0606,
      0.037,
      0.0233,
      0.0123,
      0.0057,
      0.0025,
      0.001,
      0.0003,
      0.0001,
      0.0
    ],
    "Sporting CP": [
      0.1353,
      0.3322,
      0.52,
      0.0118,
      0.0007,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0
    ],
    "Vitoria SC": [
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0,
      0.0195,
      0.0597,
      0.0912,
      0.1076,
      0.1214,
      0.1199,
      0.1157,
      0.1053,
      0.0885,
      0.0652,
      0.044,
      0.0293,
      0.0187,
      0.0102,
      0.0037
    ]
  },
  "matchday_results": [
    {
      "home": "Casa Pia",
      "away": "Sporting CP",
      "home_goals": 0,
      "away_goals": 2,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Moreirense",
      "away": "Estrela Amadora",
      "home_goals": 2,
      "away_goals": 1,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Porto",
      "away": "Estoril",
      "home_goals": 4,
      "away_goals": 0,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Arouca",
      "away": "Nacional",
      "home_goals": 1,
      "away_goals": 0,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Academico Viseu",
      "away": "Rio Ave",
      "home_goals": 2,
      "away_goals": 1,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Maritimo",
      "away": "Santa Clara",
      "home_goals": 0,
      "away_goals": 2,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "SC Braga",
      "away": "Famalicao",
      "home_goals": 3,
      "away_goals": 0,
      "matchday": 10
    },
    {
      "home": "Santa Clara",
      "away": "Benfica",
      "home_goals": 1,
      "away_goals": 2,
      "matchday": 9
    }
  ],
  "matches_remaining": [
    {
      "home": "Gil Vicente",
      "away": "Vitoria SC",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:15:00"
    },
    {
      "home": "Benfica",
      "away": "Alverca",
      "kickoff": "2026-11-02T20:15:00"
    }
  ],
  "next_matchday": {
    "matchday": 11,
    "matches": [
      {
        "home": "Rio Ave",
        "away": "SC Braga",
        "p_home": 0.1806,
        "p_draw": 0.2214,
        "p_away": 0.598
      },
      {
        "home": "Estrela Amadora",
        "away": "Benfica",
        "p_home": 0.084,
        "p_draw": 0.1541,
        "p_away": 0.7619
      },
      {
        "home": "Vitoria SC",
        "away": "Porto",
        "p_home": 0.1473,
        "p_draw": 0.2296,
        "p_away": 0.6231
      },
      {
        "home": "Santa Clara",
        "away": "Gil Vicente",
        "p_home": 0.3932,
        "p_draw": 0.3116,
        "p_away": 0.2953
      },
      {
        "home": "Estoril",
        "away": "Maritimo",
        "p_home": 0.5518,
        "p_draw": 0.2374,
        "p_away": 0.2108
      },
      {
        "home": "Alverca",
        "away": "Casa Pia",
        "p_home": 0.5096,
        "p_draw": 0.2628,
        "p_away": 0.2276
      },
      {
        "home": "Nacional",
        "away": "Academico Viseu",
        "p_home": 0.4252,
        "p_draw": 0.2748,
        "p_away": 0.3
      },
      {
        "home": "Famalicao",
        "away": "Arouca",
        "p_home": 0.4758,
        "p_draw": 0.2685,
        "p_away": 0.2557
      },
      {
        "home": "Sporting CP",
        "away": "Moreirense",
        "p_home": 0.8436,
        "p_draw": 0.111,
        "p_away": 0.0454
      }
    ]
  }
}