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Population

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Mystery parish (daily game)
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Liga Portugal

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Beat the Model (weekly game)
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Presidential 2026 · archive
Parliamentary 2025 · archive
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Population

Find your parish
Mystery parish (daily game)
Open data
Quality
Methodology

Liga Portugal

Forecasts
Players
Beat the Model (weekly game)
Model
Data

Elections

All elections (archive)
Presidential 2026 · archive
Parliamentary 2025 · archive
Methodology

About

About estimador.pt
Methodology
Privacy

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Parishes
Mystery parish
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Synthetic population

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Data to understand Portugal.

Data and models about Portugal, with the uncertainty in view: who lives in each parish, how the Liga could end, and what the election forecasts said.

Black: what has already happened.Yellow: the model’s margin.Tick alone: one run, no margin.

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Population
Liga Portugal
Elections · archive

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