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Liga Portugal

2026-27 season

Sp. Braga

Liga Portugal forecast for Sp. Braga: end-of-season chances and what changes in the next match.

Forecast of 1 Nov, with 7 of matchday 10’s 9 games played · next forecast after matchday 10 (2 Nov)
Top 3
2.0%

Champion and relegation: below 1% in the simulations (relegation: 17th or 18th; 16th plays off and is not counted).

Expected points: 58 (90% of simulations between 48 and 68)Most likely finish: 4th (62%)Attack: 4th · Defence: 4th (strength estimated by the model among the 18 clubs, 1st = best; every club)

Position distribution

Probability of finishing in each league position.

Where Sp. Braga can finish

Share of simulations finishing in each position, on a 0–100% scale.

3rd
1.8%
4th
62%
5th
20%
6th
8.5%
7th
3.9%
8th
2.0%
9th
1.0%
View as table: Probability of finishing in each position
Probability of finishing in each position
PositionProbability
1st<0.1%
2nd0.1%
3rd1.8%
4th62%
5th20%
6th8.5%
7th3.9%
8th2.0%
9th1.0%
10th0.5%
11th0.2%
12th0.1%
13th0.1%
14th<0.1%
15th<0.1%
16th0%
17th0%
18th0%

Next match

What is at stake for Sp. Braga

Next match · Sun 8 Nov · 20:30 · away

Win
60%
Draw
22%
Lose
18%

This match's probabilities, from Sp. Braga's side. Neither the title nor relegation reaches 1% for Sp. Braga in this forecast.

Match analysis

The games Sp. Braga has left

In date order, Lisbon time. The model prices the next round; later dates can still change.

  1. Sun 8 Nov · 20:30Rio Aveaway · MD11
  2. Mon 30 Novprovisional dateCasa Piaaway · MD12
  3. Sun 6 Decprovisional dateAroucahome · MD13
  4. Sun 13 Decprovisional dateBenficaaway · MD14
  5. Sun 20 Decprovisional dateAc. Viseuhome · MD15
  6. Sun 27 Decprovisional dateMarítimoaway · MD16
  7. Sun 10 Janprovisional datePortohome · MD17
  8. Sun 17 Janprovisional dateMoreirensehome · MD18
  9. Sun 24 Janprovisional dateGil Vicenteaway · MD19
  10. Sun 31 Janprovisional dateEstrelahome · MD20
  11. Sun 7 Febprovisional dateVitóriaaway · MD21
  12. Sun 14 Febprovisional dateAlvercahome · MD22
  13. Sun 21 Febprovisional dateEstorilaway · MD23
  14. Sun 28 Febprovisional dateSanta Clarahome · MD24
  15. Sun 7 Marprovisional dateSportingaway · MD25
  16. Sun 14 Marprovisional dateNacionalhome · MD26
  17. Sun 21 Marprovisional dateFamalicãoaway · MD27
  18. Sun 4 Aprprovisional dateRio Avehome · MD28
  19. Sun 11 Aprprovisional dateCasa Piahome · MD29
  20. Sun 18 Aprprovisional dateAroucaaway · MD30
  21. Sun 25 Aprprovisional dateBenficahome · MD31
  22. Sun 2 Mayprovisional dateAc. Viseuaway · MD32
  23. Sun 9 Mayprovisional dateMarítimohome · MD33
  24. Sun 16 Mayprovisional datePortoaway · MD34
Source: estimador.pt's bivariate Poisson Bayesian model, fitted to goals and shots on target; 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season (forecast of 1 November 2026). How the model worksOpen data